2015 Finish Time Guess #1

Playing with Statistics as Teams head down the river towards Tuluksak and a 4 hour break:

Just using outbound times for Rohn Buser, the elapsed time (not taking into account any checkpoint times) for his Team was 8hrs 11 minutes. Add 4 hours to that and add that to departure time from Kalskag on the way down at 1/1715 at 15:52. That puts a Finish as early as 4:00am or so.

Factors to consider:

  1. Whether speed can maintain on latter part of the race.
  2. Conditions are different now that there is snow on the trail
  3. Temperatures are cooler without rain or water on the trail.
  4. Checkpoint times to drop dogs

It’s going to be an early one. In the old days before the tracker, we wouldn’t know until a snowmachiner ran into headquarters with the news- “They’re Coming!” The tracker is really a blessing!

 

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