This is revision 2 of the Finish Guestimate, again based on the 2011 Record run.
The one variable that will change this is the Trail times that have been faster by Jeff King and Aliy Zirkle. In this sheet, Jeff was 20 minutes faster from Koyuk to Elim and an hour faster from Elim to White Mountain. The only reason for the similarity is that King took an hour and 30 minute rest in Elim. On the 77 mile race for Nome, both teams could “open it up” and have faster times. This might put the Winner an hour or so earlier.
As for Pete and the Team, who just officially arrived into Koyuk at 8:18 this morning, he is about 18 hours back from Jeff. This puts Team Kaiser into Nome about 6 pm or so, followed closely by Richie, and later by Mike Jr.
Go Teams!